Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.192817 0.219481 0.248100 0.281053 0.317902 0.357790 0.404185
2025-12-14 0.155349 0.190594 0.230965 0.280456 0.339316 0.406891 0.490150
2025-12-21 0.129365 0.169401 0.217903 0.280627 0.359193 0.453913 0.576274
2025-12-28 0.111794 0.155138 0.210319 0.285094 0.383052 0.506206 0.671819
2026-01-04 0.099160 0.145007 0.206033 0.292237 0.409721 0.562922 0.776233
2026-01-11 0.087401 0.134218 0.199162 0.294477 0.429144 0.610659 0.871419
2026-01-18 0.078889 0.126720 0.195627 0.300328 0.453139 0.665293 0.978649
2026-01-25 0.072317 0.121124 0.193939 0.308162 0.479876 0.724751 1.095598
2026-02-01 0.064533 0.112635 0.186903 0.307080 0.492998 0.765052 1.187043
2026-02-08 0.057843 0.105029 0.180308 0.305761 0.505148 0.804044 1.278129
2026-02-15 0.052034 0.098153 0.174077 0.304210 0.516396 0.841803 1.368859
2026-02-22 0.048532 0.094790 0.173150 0.310911 0.540762 0.900513 1.494163
2026-03-01 0.043997 0.089213 0.168190 0.310843 0.554729 0.944733 1.601035
2026-03-08 0.039970 0.084088 0.163487 0.310726 0.568456 0.989200 1.710646
2026-03-15 0.036488 0.079568 0.159385 0.311206 0.583037 1.035653 1.825732
2026-03-22 0.034003 0.076694 0.157972 0.316270 0.605702 1.096478 1.967346
2026-03-29 0.032116 0.074796 0.158170 0.324203 0.633793 1.167738 2.129768
2026-04-05 0.029763 0.071638 0.155624 0.326711 0.652141 1.223120 2.267802
2026-04-12 0.028061 0.069667 0.155201 0.333163 0.677990 1.292676 2.433364
2026-04-19 0.026717 0.068324 0.155894 0.341779 0.708294 1.371458 2.618550
2026-04-26 0.024552 0.064850 0.151859 0.340600 0.719805 1.417006 2.746859
2026-05-03 0.022570 0.061556 0.147878 0.339156 0.730580 1.461554 2.875186
2026-05-10 0.020754 0.058430 0.143950 0.337455 0.740622 1.505061 3.003364